The Denver Broncos are the highest seed within the AFC however are actually the longshot among the many remaining 4 groups to win the Super Bowl, and all of it comes right down to the season-ending ankle injury suffered by beginning quarterback Bo Nix. The Broncos (15-3) beat the Buffalo Bills 33-30 in time beyond regulation within the Divisional Round, but it surely was revealed after the sport that Nix wants surgical procedure for a damaged bone in his ankle. Denver entered the NFL Playoffs because the +650 third favourite to win the Super Bowl — and best choice from the AFC — in DraftKings’ Super Bowl futures. Now, the Broncos are +1100, with the NFC’s Seattle Seahawks (+145) and Los Angeles Rams (+230) the favorites and the brand new England Patriots (+250) changing into the clear AFC selection.
The Nix injury additionally flipped the unfold on Broncos vs. Patriots in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game, set for 3 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. The Broncos have been set to be 1.5-point dwelling favorites in lookahead projections, however now New England is a 4.5-point favourite at DraftKings. The Over/Under is 42.5 whole factors scored because it’s anticipated to be a extra defense-oriented sport. The Patriots are -251 cash line favorites with the Broncos priced at +206.
The NFC Championship Game on Sunday, scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET on Fox, is the third matchup of the 2025 NFL season between division foes. NFC West champions and No. 1 seed Seattle Seahawks host the Los Angeles Rams, with the winner anticipated to be favored to win Super Bowl 60. The groups cut up their two regular-season conferences, with the house workforce profitable every time. The Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites, with DraftKings setting the Over/Under at 46.5. Seattle is a -154 favourite, and Los Angeles is priced as a +129 money-line underdog.
Here, we’ll break down the NFL Conference Championships odds and the way they’ve been affected since traces first opened, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Patriots vs. Broncos (Sunday, 3 p.m. ET)
Denver is protecting in 58% of the SportsLine mannequin’s simulations. Bet the unfold at DraftKings:
The Broncos are going to need to win with a robust working sport and an excellent protection, as Jarrett Stidham shall be stepping in for Nix, and the sixth-year professional has simply 4 profession begins. The excellent news is that working again RJ Harvey has 896 whole yards at 12 whole TDs in his rookie season, and J.Okay. Dobbins (772 dashing yards in 10 video games) has been training on a restricted foundation after a protracted IR stint. The higher information is the Denver protection led the league in sacks within the common season with 68 (4 per sport) and has been the driving drive for this workforce all season. The unhealthy information is that New England has one of many NFL’s greatest run defenses, rating fifth at 101.7 yards per sport within the common season. The Patriots additionally had the second-highest scoring offense, averaging 28.8 factors per sport. But the Broncos had the third-best scoring protection (18.3) and are going to make life robust on Pats QB Drake Maye. The followers at Mile High are certain to do their half as properly. The SportsLine mannequin is anticipating extra from the Broncos than oddsmakers are, with Denver protecting the unfold 58% of the time and profitable outright 46% of the time. At a value of +204, the mannequin loves the Broncos on the cash line, giving the choose an “A” grade. The public has been hitting the Patriots laborious, with about 75% of unfold bets at DraftKings on New England, dropping the unfold to 4.5. The whole has bumped up, transferring two factors with the general public doubtless anticipating the Stidham-led offense to offer extra probabilities for Maye and the Pats so as to add factors.
Rams at Seahawks (Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET)
- Open: Seahawks -2.5, O/U 47.5
- Now: Seahawks -2.5, O/U 46.5
Seattle is protecting in 58% of the SportsLine mannequin’s simulations. Bet the unfold at DraftKings:
The Seahawks are the favourite to win the Super Bowl, in order that they’re favored right here. From previous experiences, if they will keep away from turnovers they need to haven’t any drawback beating the Rams once more. They gave the ball away seven instances within the two regular-season conferences however gained the matchup in Seattle and missed a 61-yard subject aim that may have gained the sport in L.A. One query is which sort of sport this shall be, as the primary was a 21-19 nail-biter and the second was a 38-37 OT thriller. The Rams had 249 whole yards of their dwelling victory however piled up 581 within the second assembly. Seattle had 415 at dwelling and 414 in L.A., so it appears to be like like we all know what to anticipate from the Seahawks offense in opposition to a Rams protection that has had some issues. L.A. averaged 30.5 factors within the common season, most within the NFL, however Seattle was third at 28.4. The Seahawks protection allowed the fewest factors within the league (17.2) whereas the Rams have been tenth (20.4). The SportsLine mannequin is leaning barely Under the full, with simulations projecting 46 whole factors, and has Seattle protecting 58% of the time for an “A” grade. At DraftKings, 83% of the unfold bets and 91% of the deal with are on Seattle, whereas 69% of bettors are on the Over.
